Friday, January 24, 2014
Protecting the Digital Domain
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
Be Wary of Iran’s 'Sweet Reasonableness'
Be Wary of Iran’s 'Sweet Reasonableness'
Iran’s skillful international PR needs to be rigorously tested
By Narain D. Batra
January 16, 2014
The DiplomatIt might seem that recent international events – particularly Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad’s fulfillment of his commitment to give up its chemical weapons under a Russia-US deal – has transformed the international scene. A few months ago, Iranian President Hasan Rouhani was prompted to assume a diplomatic posture of a mediator offering its “government’s readiness to help facilitate dialogue between the Syrian government and the opposition.” Since Iran has been a strong supporter of the Assad regime, it seemed presumptuous that Iran could play the role of a peacemaker in a devastating civil war.
Iran’s major challenge has been whether it can keep up its nuclear identity despite the choking economic sanctions. Some time ago, in a Washington Post op-ed piece, Rouhani brought up a point that his Holocaust-denying predecessor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was never able to do succinctly. He said, “The centrality of (Iran’s) identity extends to the case of our peaceful nuclear energy program. To us, mastering the atomic fuel cycle and generating nuclear power is as much about diversifying our energy resources as it is about who Iranians are as a nation, our demand for dignity and respect and our consequent place in the world.” In an earlier interview with NBC, Rouhani had asserted that Iran has “never pursued or sought a nuclear bomb and we are not going to do so. We solely are looking for peaceful nuclear technology.”
It seemed to some of us that with his smiling face and reasonableness, Rouhani had opened new possibilities for dialogue and diplomacy. Consequently the rhetoric of war against Iran has become rather muffled in the U.S., though hardheaded realists wouldn’t take the Iranian leader’s word for it. The real power lies somewhere else, with the Supreme leader Ali Khamenei and the National Guard and its brutal elite branch the Quds Force, as Dexter Filkins reported in the New Yorker magazine. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called Rouhani “a wolf in sheep’s clothing.” Israel is a very powerful factor in American foreign policy. There is some movement in Congress to slap new and tougher sanctions on Iran, which President has threatened to veto.
The Obama administration is scrambling to come up with new policy postures toward Iran, whom it continues to regard as an unfriendly country, albeit not an evil one that could provoke war and take over the region. Europeans have been reluctantly cooperating with the United States. Russia and China are back to their cozy commercial relations with Iran.
The 2007 National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) concluded “with high level of confidence” that Iran was not engaged in the development of nuclear weapons. Iran halted the nuclear weapons program in 2003, though it continues to pursue nuclear energy development for civilian energy purposes. The report said, “Our assessment that Iran halted the program in 2003 primarily in response to international pressure indicates Tehran’s decisions are guided by a cost-benefit approach rather than a rush to a weapon irrespective of the political, economic, and military costs.” Subsequent reports reaffirmed the finding that Iran was not actively engaged in nuclear weaponization program, though it has developed capacities to do so.
Of course, the national interest calculus includes both short- and long-term cost-benefit analyses. Apart from four rounds of economic sanctions imposed since 2006 by the UN Security Council that have been hurting the economy severely, Iran must have taken into account the determination of the Obama administration in supporting uprisings in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Syria. Iran also knows that only the U.S. can hold back Israel from bombing its nuclear facilities. Obama reaffirmed America’s engagement with the Middle East in his speech at the UN General Assembly without giving up on the pivot toward Asia.
Iran’s recent song-and-dance with the American media seems to be following the map projection given by the National Intelligence Estimate that “some combination of threats of intensified international scrutiny … and goals for regional influence in other ways, might — if perceived by Iran’s leaders as credible — prompt Tehran to extend the current halt to its nuclear weapons program.”
Iran, long isolated and under crippling sanctions, is looking for a workable strategy that would enable it to pursue nuclear research as its fundamental right as a sovereign nation and have sanctions lifted to empower its moribund economy. Iran’s sweet reasonableness, however, needs to be tested through a strict international inspection regimen.
With its enormous oil and natural gas reserves and nuclear potential, Iran is not an insignificant geopolitical power in the region. No single power should be allowed to control the Gulf region, through which millions of barrels of oil flow every day to fuel the global economy.
Last year Iran shocked India by detaining its oil tanker MT Desh Shanti in international waters, accusing it of an oil spill for which it presented no evidence. What would have been the consequences if Iran had detained a U.S. oil tanker? Or a Chinese oil tanker? Diplomacy without economic and military leverage is an exercise in futility, as India should have known. Iran knows this too well.
But the U.S. is ready to give diplomacy a chance. As Obama said on Sunday, on January 20 the clock would start ticking on a six-month deal with Iran to prevent it from enriching uranium in exchange for lifting limited amount of economic sanctions. “I have no illusions about how hard it will be to achieve this objective, but for the sake of our national security and the peace and security of the world, now is the time to give diplomacy a chance to succeed.”
Yet behind this pious diplomatic hope is Obama’s resolve never to allow Iran to develop the means to make a nuclear weapon. In the meantime, Israel waits in readiness.
Dr. Batra is author of The First Freedoms and America’s Culture of Innovation (Rowman & Littlefield, 2013) and a professor of communication and diplomacy at Norwich University.
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Topics
Diplomacy
Thursday, January 09, 2014
Teaching commercial diplomacy
Indian business schools need to teach commercial diplomacy
Narain D. BatraModern tools of business and economics cannot capture outliers, for example, the rare and extreme event such as the current Indian financial crisis, the fall of the rupee, which has roiled India for some time. While one cannot prevent a tsunami from hitting a country, it’s certainly possible to imagine such an extreme event occurring and build enough reserve resources to reorganize and restructure.
Nor do business and economic schools teach how to resurrect and rebuild the most invaluable human asset: trust and confidence. How do you restore people’s faith in a system that has failed them? How do you bring the foreign investor back to India?
Advocacy, negotiation, and campaigning should be central to every economic and business management program in India.
Consider this: In 2008 when the CEOs of Detroit Big Three automakers went to Congress for a $25 billion bailout to avoid bankruptcy, members after members asked them why they should trust them for doing the right thing for taxpayers and consumers. Show us your business plans before we give you the money, they said, after reproaching them for their extravagances.
The best argument the CEOs could muster was that bankruptcy would put millions of people out of job, which was not only unpersuasive but also a dangerous half-truth. The foreign automakers, Honda, Toyota, Hyundai, BMW and Mercedes who run non-union auto plants in the South were after all doing not that bad in the bad times. No one wanted Detroit to disappear as a most important auto-manufacturing hub that energizes every walk of American life and directly and indirectly impacts the lives of 2.5 million people.
But Detroit has been an example of failure in persuasion. It failed to persuade the American consumer that its cars are better than those made by Germans, Japanese and South Koreans. The fall of the rupee, similarly, is failure in persuasion that India can manufacture high quality goods for exports. India must compete or perish.
Business schools claim that they create future leaders; but they don’t teach the fine art of how to become influential in a democratic society. They train technocrats who feel more comfortable with their smartphones rather than sitting across a hostile group of people or skeptical global investors and turn them into friends
Doing business is about persuasion; therefore, what business schools need to do is to develop programs that prepare business students for developing and exercising soft power. For want of a better term, some people call it lobbying, though I believe that “advocacy” is a better word. Richard Hall and Alan Deardorff of the University of Michigan wrote in the American Political Science Review that “Professional lobbyists are among the most experienced, knowledgeable, and strategic actors one can find in the everyday practice of politics.”
But lobbyists are sometime reviled as unethical because most people think lobbying as greasing, wining and dining—an unfortunate negative attitude about a socially useful activity.
Lobbying is a multimillion-dollar global service industry.
China, Israel, and many Arab countries, for example, have hired some of the best lobbyists to look after their interests in the United States. Chinese lobbyists want to ensure that Americans do not turn protectionists. American lobbyist-diplomats prowl and troll throughout world wherever decision-making power is concentrated. They know how to negotiate with the powers that be and use the news media and other resources to protect their national interest. Lobbying substitutes the power of the gun with the power of the tongue.
One of the most arduous tasks for anyone is to understand the labyrinthine activities of the US Congress; how it works and wields power through its committees, subcommittees and public hearings; how issues emerge in the public consciousness and how they are transformed into bills that become laws. It is important for us to understand and appreciate the role of lobbyists in the halls of power and how they facilitate legislative processes both at Capitol Hill and state capitals.
Apart from being extremely knowledgeable and strategic thinkers, lobbyists put to use an indispensable tool of persuasion, which is negotiation. While it is said that most things in life are negotiable, the art of negotiation does not come easy whether one is dealing with friends or foes.
Besides teaching negotiation skills, business schools should teach students how to work with the news media and use social networking for generating social and political capital. The learning focus could vary from how to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) to persuading Iran, for example, to sell its oil to India in rupees. Iran’s detainment of Indian oil tanker MT Desh Shanti was a failure in corporate diplomacy. It must not happen again. But now comes another test: whether Walmart, the global retailer with $466 billion gross revenue last year, will open its front-end retail door in India; or exit altogether.
at Thursday, January 09, 2014 Posted by Narain D. Batra 0 comments
Monday, December 23, 2013
Tagore and Humanity
….
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
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Wednesday, May 09, 2012
Prison slaves - Slavery: A 21st Century Evil - Al Jazeera English
China Slave Labor
Prison slaves - Slavery: A 21st Century Evil - Al Jazeera English
at Wednesday, May 09, 2012 Posted by Narain D. Batra 0 comments
Sunday, May 06, 2012
Hear the White Tiger growl
When you see a child standing on a garbage dump looking for something retrievable, competing with dogs, cranes and vultures, you wonder where the storied economic growth has been going. With food and oil prices going up, the government sounds ingenuous when it trumpets gross domestic product without making sure that the benefits of economic growth are distributed equitably.
Even if one accepts the Planning Commission's recently released poverty metrics that 29.8% of India's 1.21 billion people live below the poverty line, it still means about 360 million people presently live in poverty, a shockingly high number that includes-let's not forget- millions of children of rural farm workers, city casual workers, adivasis, dalits and Muslims. Neither welfare programs, nor a quotas system will be totally effective for poverty reduction on a sustainable basis even when 8-9 % economic growth is regained. How many five-year plans will it take to lift these invisible people above the officially declared poverty survival level? The government alone cannot fight poverty-partly because it is incompetent; but more so because it lacks sympathetic imagination.
Corporate India has been growing at a phenomenal rate since the liberalization of economy and must contribute its might toward poverty reduction . With economic power comes wider social responsibility and corporate India cannot keep itself aloof from the travails of the common people.
Corporate giants cannot afford to be content feeding only their shareholders' bellies, especially when most global corporations in the US and Europe have accepted that their social responsibility goes beyond profitmaking. Today hardly anyone pays heed to what Chicago economist Milton Friedman erroneously argued in 1970: "The social responsibility of business is to its profits." Democratic marketplace capitalism is the last best hope of India but it cannot survive on greed.
A few years ago, H Lee Scott Jr, former chief executive of Wal-Mart Stores, said, "People's expectations of us-and of corporations in general changed.... It is clear that today people look at Wal-Mart as a solution. And we want to be seen that way. We want to act that way." With more than $421 billion revenue in 2011 and two million employees worldwide, Wal-Mart has earned notoriety for buying cheap wherever it can; nonetheless, it boasts of always selling at low prices. A few years ago, the retailer was perceived as one of the worst global exploiters . But today with its avowed mission of protecting the environment and an affordable $4 prescription drug plan, its image has improved along with its profits.
That's how corporate India should be adjudged-albeit making global mergers-and-acquisitions of mega steel mills or bringing Jaguar/Land Rover to India and thus fulfilling the fantasy of the elite about India becoming a superpower is not a bad idea at all. Corporate India will flourish more by sharing the burden of poverty. Sustainable growth, affordable healthcare and poverty reduction are the chief concerns of India, which corporate leadership too must accept. There is fortune to be made at the base of the pyramid, the late management guru CK Prahalad used to say. I see million-fold brainpower awaiting development.
Corporate social responsibility is a form of business-to-people savoir-faire , social adeptness to win the hearts and minds of the people. Some corporations use their social responsibility activities as a means of building social capital, which comes handy when they are hit with crises.
According to an Oxford Said School of Business report, corporate social responsibility"penetration in India is relatively high with over 80 percent corporations administering some kind of corporate social responsibility program." But unfortunately these scattershot goodwill philanthropic efforts have no visible impact on the invisible people.
Corporate India must develop new business models that enable companies to join hands with local communities and civil society in creating opportunities for inclusive, sustainable growth- growth that generates jobs and enriches human capital.
Civil society can spawn transformative changes by focusing on the poverty-reduction activities of Indian companies. Constant information flows and the software to manage them have increased the ability of civil society to uncover corruption and inequities in decision-making by governments as well as corporations, and identify left-behind disadvantaged groups. Smart use of IT by civil society could impact corporate governance and the politics of economic inclusion.
As political and economic power devolves, India's everyman with his video cellphone will watch corporate India hungrily for social justice. Somewhere, there prowls Arvind Adiga's ferocious beast, The White Tiger. Does corporate India hear the growl? I do.
The writer teaches communication and corporate diplomacy at Norwich University, US
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Saturday, February 18, 2012
On slippery ground, but India needs both Israel & Iran
That said, India and Israel too have growing relations in several fields crucial for economic development, including defence technology, agriculture, R&D and tourism. India must be a safe place for Israelis to visit and do business.
Trade, investment, and diplomatic influence are highly correlated, and India needs to be innovative and aggressive. Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee's visit to Chicago late January, quickly followed by foreign secretary Ranjan Mathai's Washington trip, the India-European Union summit in Delhi to expedite broad-based trade and investment, and ongoing negotiations with Saudi Arabia and Iran on energy issues highlight the urgency of economic diplomacy to serve India's long-term national interests.
Addressing the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, Mukherjee urged his audience of some top business leaders to "contribute to our collective prosperity," especially when India has embarked on colossal infrastructure building projects that will require one trillion dollar investment during the next five years.
Mukherjee touted India's "calibrated approach" to capital account convertibility; the success of external commercial borrowings policy in maintaining external debt at sustainable levels; the robustness of India's banking sector; diversified export markets; and the robustness of the financial sector due to optimal regulatory mechanism. Financially, India stands like a rock.
With the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor and other similar projects in mind, Mukherjee explained the government's manufacturing policy to create 100 million jobs in the next decade by establishing special zones with world-class urban centres, to make Indian industry globally competitive. This will be done by instituting a supportive framework to facilitate business, including availability of skills, technology, finance, and "compliance based on self-regulation," with minimal government intervention. Mukherjee came as close as he could to promise that India will be as business-friendly as China.
While courting American investors, Mukherjee did not hesitate to assert India's position on two vital issues - Obama's outsourcing policy and Iran sanctions. Obama's plan to limit outsourcing through tax incentives is counterproductive and will hurt both India and America. Of course, the best way for Indian IT industry to combat the looming outsourcing "protectionism" threat is to offer products and services so compelling that corporate America cannot refuse.
On India-Iran trade relations, Mukherjee was unequivocally frank: "It is not possible for India to take any decision to reduce the imports from Iran drastically, because among the countries which can provide the requirement of the emerging economies, Iran is an important country." Buying Iran oil does not mean that India condones Iran's nuclear ambitions other than for peaceful purposes. Maintaining stability in the Middle East to enable an uninterrupted flow of energy is a global challenge.
Later, on his visit to Washington DC, foreign secretary Ranjan Mathai told his audience at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, that, "while Iran has rights to peaceful uses of nuclear energy, it must also fulfill its international obligations as a non-nuclear weapon state under the NPT." India's voting record on Iran in IAEA is unambiguous.
But Mathai also focused on Iran's geopolitical importance to India. Iran, apart from providing India with 12 % of its oil needs, worth $11 billion annually, also enables access to Central Asia including Afghanistan whose long-term stability and prosperity is vital to India; as it is to the US especially when it plans to withdraw its combat forces in 2014.
India's forthcoming trade negotiations with Iran should have twofold aims - first, to negotiate the oil deal at best prices entirely in rupee terms. Rupee oil trade agreement will boost Indian exports to Iran. Besides, it will open up opportunities for other countries to do trade in rupee, further stimulating Indian exports. Although Indian economy is based on domestic consumption, international trade generates tremendous diplomatic leverage and influence - see what China is doing with its massive trade surplus and foreign currency reserves.
Second, India should use the opportunity to persuade Iran to resume negotiations regarding its nuclear programme since it claims its programme to be peaceful. In fact, during the recently concluded India-EU free trade talks, European Council President Herman Van Rompuy and European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso pressed India to use its leverage with Iran to return to the negotiating table.
India needs to make a large and meaningful diplomatic gesture for international cooperation without compromising its economic interests.
The writer is professor of communications and diplomacy at Norwich University
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Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Telepresence
“The 'Arab Spring' had its technological genesis in Silicon Valley-generated social networks such as Twitter and Facebook. But the same networking technology enables American jobs to be done by anybody anywhere. And so Arab authoritarian regimes see their bloody streets as nothing but an American conspiracy while many American politicians blame the continuous loss of American jobs on the rising tide of digital civilization…”
Read more …
Times of India
25 January 2012
at Tuesday, January 24, 2012 Posted by Narain D. Batra 0 comments
Topics
Globalization
